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1.
Health Aff (Millwood) ; 43(2): 172-180, 2024 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38315921

RESUMO

This article examines racial and ethnic disparities in the relationship between gentrification and exposure to contextual determinants of health. In our study, we focused on changes in selected contextual determinants of health (health care access, social deprivation, air pollution, and walkability) and life expectancy during the period 2006-21 among residents of gentrifying census tracts in six large US cities that have experienced different gentrification patterns and have different levels of segregation: Chicago, Illinois; Los Angeles, California; New York, New York; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania; San Francisco, California; and Seattle, Washington. We found that gentrification was associated with overall improvements in the likelihood of living in Medically Underserved Areas across racial and ethnic groups, but it was also associated with increased social deprivation and reduced life expectancy among Black people, Hispanic people, and people of another or undetermined race or ethnicity. In contrast, we found that gentrification was related to better (or unchanged) contextual determinants of health for Asian people and White people. Our findings can inform policies that target communities identified to be particularly at risk for worsening contextual determinants of health as a result of gentrification.


Assuntos
Etnicidade , Iniquidades em Saúde , Segregação Residencial , Determinantes Sociais da Saúde , Humanos , Etnicidade/estatística & dados numéricos , Hispânico ou Latino/estatística & dados numéricos , Philadelphia/epidemiologia , Brancos/estatística & dados numéricos , Determinantes Sociais da Saúde/etnologia , Determinantes Sociais da Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Asiático/estatística & dados numéricos , Negro ou Afro-Americano/estatística & dados numéricos , Expectativa de Vida/etnologia , Expectativa de Vida/tendências , Características de Residência/estatística & dados numéricos , Grupos Raciais/etnologia , Grupos Raciais/estatística & dados numéricos
4.
Natl Vital Stat Rep ; 72(10): 1-92, 2023 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37748091

RESUMO

Objective-This report presents final 2020 data on U.S. deaths, death rates, life expectancy, infant and maternal mortality, and trends by selected characteristics such as age, sex, Hispanic origin and race, state of residence, and cause of death. Methods-Information reported on death certificates is presented in descriptive tabulations. The original records are filed in state registration offices. Statistical information is compiled in a national database through the Vital Statistics Cooperative Program of the National Center for Health Statistics. Causes of death are processed according to the International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision. Beginning in 2018, all states and the District of Columbia were using the 2003 revised certificate of death for the entire year, which includes the 1997 Office of Management and Budget revised standards for race. Data based on these revised standards are not completely comparable to previous years. Results-In 2020, a total of 3,383,729 deaths were reported in the United States. The age-adjusted death rate was 835.4 deaths per 100,000 U.S. standard population, an increase of 16.8% from the 2019 rate. Life expectancy at birth was 77.0 years, a decrease of 1.8 years from 2019. Age-specific death rates increased from 2019 to 2020 for age groups 15 years and over and decreased for age group under 1 year. Many of the 15 leading causes of death in 2020 changed from 2019. COVID-19, a new cause of death in 2020, became the third leading cause in 2020. The infant mortality rate decreased 2.9% to a historic low of 5.42 infant deaths per 1,000 live births in 2020. Conclusions-In 2020, the age-adjusted death rate increased and life expectancy at birth decreased for the total, male, and female populations, primarily due to the influence of deaths from COVID-19.


Assuntos
Causas de Morte , Expectativa de Vida , Mortalidade , Adolescente , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/mortalidade , Bases de Dados Factuais/estatística & dados numéricos , District of Columbia , Hispânico ou Latino , Morte do Lactente , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Expectativa de Vida/tendências , Mortalidade Infantil/tendências , Mortalidade/tendências , Mortalidade Materna/tendências
5.
JAMA ; 329(19): 1662-1670, 2023 05 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37191702

RESUMO

Importance: Amid efforts in the US to promote health equity, there is a need to assess recent progress in reducing excess deaths and years of potential life lost among the Black population compared with the White population. Objective: To evaluate trends in excess mortality and years of potential life lost among the Black population compared with the White population. Design, setting, and participants: Serial cross-sectional study using US national data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention from 1999 through 2020. We included data from non-Hispanic White and non-Hispanic Black populations across all age groups. Exposures: Race as documented in the death certificates. Main outcomes and measures: Excess age-adjusted all-cause mortality, cause-specific mortality, age-specific mortality, and years of potential life lost rates (per 100 000 individuals) among the Black population compared with the White population. Results: From 1999 to 2011, the age-adjusted excess mortality rate declined from 404 to 211 excess deaths per 100 000 individuals among Black males (P for trend <.001). However, the rate plateaued from 2011 through 2019 (P for trend = .98) and increased in 2020 to 395-rates not seen since 2000. Among Black females, the rate declined from 224 excess deaths per 100 000 individuals in 1999 to 87 in 2015 (P for trend <.001). There was no significant change between 2016 and 2019 (P for trend = .71) and in 2020 rates increased to 192-levels not seen since 2005. The trends in rates of excess years of potential life lost followed a similar pattern. From 1999 to 2020, the disproportionately higher mortality rates in Black males and females resulted in 997 623 and 628 464 excess deaths, respectively, representing a loss of more than 80 million years of life. Heart disease had the highest excess mortality rates, and the excess years of potential life lost rates were largest among infants and middle-aged adults. Conclusions and relevance: Over a recent 22-year period, the Black population in the US experienced more than 1.63 million excess deaths and more than 80 million excess years of life lost when compared with the White population. After a period of progress in reducing disparities, improvements stalled, and differences between the Black population and the White population worsened in 2020.


Assuntos
Negro ou Afro-Americano , Expectativa de Vida , Mortalidade , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , População Negra/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Transversais , Etnicidade , Promoção da Saúde , Expectativa de Vida/etnologia , Expectativa de Vida/tendências , Mortalidade/etnologia , Mortalidade/tendências , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Negro ou Afro-Americano/estatística & dados numéricos , Brancos/estatística & dados numéricos
6.
Demography ; 60(2): 343-349, 2023 04 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36794776

RESUMO

The COVID-19 pandemic has had overwhelming global impacts with deleterious social, economic, and health consequences. To assess the COVID-19 death toll, researchers have estimated declines in 2020 life expectancy at birth (e0). When data are available only for COVID-19 deaths, but not for deaths from other causes, the risks of dying from COVID-19 are typically assumed to be independent of those from other causes. In this research note, we explore the soundness of this assumption using data from the United States and Brazil, the countries with the largest number of reported COVID-19 deaths. We use three methods: one estimates the difference between 2019 and 2020 life tables and therefore does not require the assumption of independence, and the other two assume independence to simulate scenarios in which COVID-19 mortality is added to 2019 death rates or is eliminated from 2020 rates. Our results reveal that COVID-19 is not independent of other causes of death. The assumption of independence can lead to either an overestimate (Brazil) or an underestimate (United States) of the decline in e0, depending on how the number of other reported causes of death changed in 2020.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Causas de Morte , COVID-19/complicações , COVID-19/mortalidade , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Brasil/epidemiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Recém-Nascido , Lactente , Pré-Escolar , Criança , Adolescente , Adulto Jovem , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Neoplasias/complicações , Neoplasias/mortalidade , Cardiopatias/complicações , Cardiopatias/mortalidade , Diabetes Mellitus/mortalidade , Complicações do Diabetes/mortalidade , Causas de Morte/tendências , Tábuas de Vida , Expectativa de Vida/tendências
8.
Gac. sanit. (Barc., Ed. impr.) ; 37: 102267, 2023. ilus
Artigo em Inglês | IBECS | ID: ibc-217776

RESUMO

Objective: To analyse the trend in life expectancy (LE), healthy life expectancy (HLE) and socio-economic inequalities by neighbourhood in Barcelona from the pre-pandemic period (2018-2019) to the pandemic period (2020-2021). Method: LE and HLE at birth were computed using the municipal register of inhabitants and quality of life (EuroQol) from the Barcelona Health Survey of 2016. Inequalities were assessed with the gap between quantiles of neighbourhood income. Results: In 2020, there was a reduction in LE among men (−1.98 years) and women (−2.44) and in HLE among men (−1.44). Socio-economic inequalities in LE and HLE between neighbourhoods widened since 2019 to 2021 (LE: from 3.92 to 4.86 years for men, and from 1.30 to 3.60 for women; HLE: from 6.88 to 7.70 years for men, and from 7.85 to 9.31 for women). Conclusions: The pandemic has substantially reduced LE and HLE, with larger effects among low-income neighbourhoods, especially among women. (AU)


Objetivo: Analizar la evolución de la esperanza de vida (EV), la esperanza de vida en buena salud (EVBS) y las desigualdades socioeconómicas por barrios en Barcelona desde el periodo prepandémico (2018-2019) hasta el periodo de pandemia (2020-2021). Método: Se calcularon la EV y la EVBS al nacimiento utilizando el registro municipal de habitantes y la calidad de vida (EuroQol) de la Encuesta de Salud de Barcelona de 2016. Las desigualdades se valoraron mediante la brecha entre los cuantiles de ingreso por barrios. Resultados: En 2020 hubo una reducción en la EV en los hombres (−1,98 años) y las mujeres (−2,44), y en la EVBS en los hombres (−1,44). Las desigualdades socioeconómicas en EV y EVBS por barrios se ampliaron de 2019 a 2021 (EV: de 3,92 hasta 4,86 años en hombres y de 1,30 hasta 3,60 años en mujeres; EVBS: de 6,88 hasta 7,70 años en hombres y de 7,85 hasta 9,31 años en mujeres). Conclusiones: La pandemia ha reducido sustancialmente la EV y la EVBS, con mayores efectos en los barrios de menor renta, en especial en las mujeres. (AU)


Assuntos
Humanos , Pandemias , Infecções por Coronavirus/epidemiologia , Expectativa de Vida/tendências , Fatores Socioeconômicos , 50334 , Espanha
9.
BMC Public Health ; 22(1): 2262, 2022 12 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36463132

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Despite the civil registration and vital statistics (CRVS) system in Nepal operating for several decades, it has not been used to produce routine mortality statistics. Instead, mortality statistics rely on irregular surveys and censuses that primarily focus on child mortality. To fill this knowledge gap, this study estimates levels and subnational differentials in mortality across all ages in Nepal, primarily using CRVS data adjusted for incompleteness. METHODS: We analyzed death registration data (offline or paper-based) and CRVS survey reported death data, estimating the true crude death rate (CDR) and number of deaths by sex and year for each province and ecological belt. The estimated true number of deaths for 2017 was used with an extension of the empirical completeness method to estimate the adult mortality (45q15) and life expectancy at birth by sex and subnational level. Plausibility of subnational mortality estimates was assessed against poverty head count rates. RESULTS: Adult mortality in Nepal for 2017 is estimated to be 159 per 1000 for males and 116 for females, while life expectancy was estimated as 69.7 years for males and 73.9 years for females. Subnationally, male adult mortality ranges from 129 per 1000 in Madhesh to 224 in Karnali and female adult mortality from 89 per 1000 in Province 1 to 159 in Sudurpashchim. Similarly, male life expectancy is between 64.9 years in Karnali and 71.8 years in Madhesh and female male life expectancy between 69.6 years in Sudurpashchim and 77.0 years in Province 1. Mountain ecological belt and Sudurpashchim and Karnali provinces have high mortality and high poverty levels, whereas Terai and Hill ecological belts and Province 1, Madhesh, and Bagmati and Gandaki provinces have low mortality and poverty levels. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first use of CRVS system data in Nepal to estimate national and subnational mortality levels and differentials. The national results are plausible when compared with Global Burden of Disease and United Nations World Population Prospects estimates. Understanding of the reasons for inequalities in mortality in Nepal should focus on improving cause of death data and further strengthening CRVS data.


Assuntos
Expectativa de Vida , Mortalidade , Adulto , Criança , Feminino , Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Censos , Expectativa de Vida/tendências , Nepal/epidemiologia , Mortalidade/tendências
11.
Science ; 377(6609): 905, 2022 08 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36007042

RESUMO

Earlier this year, when I was confirmed as the new commissioner of the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA), the world faced ongoing public health issues related to the pandemic and war in Ukraine, among other challenges. Most notably, the US is experiencing a flattening or decline in life expectancy compared with other high-income countries. As part of a wider effort to reverse this decline, relationships between FDA and the biomedical ecosystem should be reimagined to facilitate more effective translation of science into successful health interventions.


Assuntos
Conflitos Armados , Tratamento Farmacológico da COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Ecossistema , Expectativa de Vida , Saúde Pública , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Expectativa de Vida/tendências , Ucrânia , Estados Unidos , United States Food and Drug Administration
12.
JAMA ; 328(4): 360-366, 2022 07 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35797033

RESUMO

Importance: The COVID-19 pandemic caused a large decrease in US life expectancy in 2020, but whether a similar decrease occurred in 2021 and whether the relationship between income and life expectancy intensified during the pandemic are unclear. Objective: To measure changes in life expectancy in 2020 and 2021 and the relationship between income and life expectancy by race and ethnicity. Design, Setting, and Participants: Retrospective ecological analysis of deaths in California in 2015 to 2021 to calculate state- and census tract-level life expectancy. Tracts were grouped by median household income (MHI), obtained from the American Community Survey, and the slope of the life expectancy-income gradient was compared by year and by racial and ethnic composition. Exposures: California in 2015 to 2019 (before the COVID-19 pandemic) and 2020 to 2021 (during the COVID-19 pandemic). Main Outcomes and Measures: Life expectancy at birth. Results: California experienced 1 988 606 deaths during 2015 to 2021, including 654 887 in 2020 to 2021. State life expectancy declined from 81.40 years in 2019 to 79.20 years in 2020 and 78.37 years in 2021. MHI data were available for 7962 of 8057 census tracts (98.8%; n = 1 899 065 deaths). Mean MHI ranged from $21 279 to $232 261 between the lowest and highest percentiles. The slope of the relationship between life expectancy and MHI increased significantly, from 0.075 (95% CI, 0.07-0.08) years per percentile in 2019 to 0.103 (95% CI, 0.098-0.108; P < .001) years per percentile in 2020 and 0.107 (95% CI, 0.102-0.112; P < .001) years per percentile in 2021. The gap in life expectancy between the richest and poorest percentiles increased from 11.52 years in 2019 to 14.67 years in 2020 and 15.51 years in 2021. Among Hispanic and non-Hispanic Asian, Black, and White populations, life expectancy declined 5.74 years among the Hispanic population, 3.04 years among the non-Hispanic Asian population, 3.84 years among the non-Hispanic Black population, and 1.90 years among the non-Hispanic White population between 2019 and 2021. The income-life expectancy gradient in these groups increased significantly between 2019 and 2020 (0.038 [95% CI, 0.030-0.045; P < .001] years per percentile among Hispanic individuals; 0.024 [95% CI: 0.005-0.044; P = .02] years per percentile among Asian individuals; 0.015 [95% CI, 0.010-0.020; P < .001] years per percentile among Black individuals; and 0.011 [95% CI, 0.007-0.015; P < .001] years per percentile among White individuals) and between 2019 and 2021 (0.033 [95% CI, 0.026-0.040; P < .001] years per percentile among Hispanic individuals; 0.024 [95% CI, 0.010-0.038; P = .002] years among Asian individuals; 0.024 [95% CI, 0.011-0.037; P = .003] years per percentile among Black individuals; and 0.013 [95% CI, 0.008-0.018; P < .001] years per percentile among White individuals). The increase in the gradient was significantly greater among Hispanic vs White populations in 2020 and 2021 (P < .001 in both years) and among Black vs White populations in 2021 (P = .04). Conclusions and Relevance: This retrospective analysis of census tract-level income and mortality data in California from 2015 to 2021 demonstrated a decrease in life expectancy in both 2020 and 2021 and an increase in the life expectancy gap by income level relative to the prepandemic period that disproportionately affected some racial and ethnic minority populations. Inferences at the individual level are limited by the ecological nature of the study, and the generalizability of the findings outside of California are unknown.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Status Econômico , Etnicidade , Expectativa de Vida , Pandemias , Grupos Raciais , COVID-19/economia , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/etnologia , California/epidemiologia , Status Econômico/estatística & dados numéricos , Etnicidade/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Renda/estatística & dados numéricos , Expectativa de Vida/etnologia , Expectativa de Vida/tendências , Grupos Minoritários/estatística & dados numéricos , Pandemias/economia , Pandemias/estatística & dados numéricos , Grupos Raciais/estatística & dados numéricos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
13.
PLoS One ; 17(2): e0263626, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35139112

RESUMO

Indicators based a fixed "old" age threshold have been widely used for assessing socioeconomic disparities in mortality at older ages. Interpretation of long-term trends and determinants of these indicators is challenging because mortality above a fixed age that in the past would have reflected old age deaths is today mixing premature and old-age mortality. We propose the modal (i.e., most frequent) age at death, M, an indicator increasingly recognized in aging research, but which has been infrequently used for monitoring mortality disparities at older ages. We use mortality and population exposure data by occupational class over the 1971-2017 period from Finnish register data. The modal age and life expectancy indicators are estimated from mortality rates smoothed with penalized B-splines. Over the 1971-2017 period, occupational class disparities in life expectancy at 65 and 75 widened while disparities in M remained relatively stable. The proportion of the group surviving to the modal age was constant across time and occupational class. In contrast, the proportion surviving to age 65 and 75 has roughly doubled since 1971 and showed strong occupational class differences. Increasing socioeconomic disparities in mortality based on fixed old age thresholds may be a feature of changing selection dynamics in a context of overall declining mortality. Unlike life expectancy at a selected fixed old age, M compares individuals with similar survival chances over time and across occupational classes. This property makes trends and differentials in M easier to interpret in countries where old-age survival has improved significantly.


Assuntos
Coleta de Dados/estatística & dados numéricos , Disparidades nos Níveis de Saúde , Mortalidade , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Adulto , Distribuição por Idade , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Envelhecimento/patologia , Causas de Morte , Feminino , Finlândia/epidemiologia , História do Século XX , História do Século XXI , Humanos , Expectativa de Vida/tendências , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Mortalidade/tendências
14.
S Afr Med J ; 112(1): 13513, 2022 02 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35139998

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The impacts on mortality of both the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic and the interventions to manage it differ between countries. The Rapid Mortality Surveillance System set up by the South African Medical Research Council based on data from the National Population Register (NPR) provides a means of tracking this impact on mortality in South Africa. OBJECTIVES: To report on the change in key metrics of mortality (numbers of deaths, life expectancy at birth, life expectancy at age 60, and infant, under-5, older child and adolescent, young adult, and adult mortality) over the period 2015 - 2020. The key features of the impact are contrasted with those measured in other countries. METHODS: The numbers of registered deaths by age and sex recorded on the NPR were increased to account for both registered deaths that are not captured by the NPR and an estimate of deaths not reported. The estimated numbers of deaths together with estimates of the numbers in the population in the middle of each of the years were used to produce life tables and calculate various indicators. RESULTS: Between 2019 and 2020, the number of deaths increased by nearly 53 000 (65% female), and life expectancy at birth fell by 1 year for females and by only 2.5 months for males. Life expectancy at age 60 decreased by 1.6 years for females and 1.2 years for males. Infant mortality, under-5 mortality and mortality of children aged 5 - 14 decreased by 22%, 20% and 10%, respectively, while that for older children and adolescents decreased by 11% for males and 5% for females. Premature adult mortality, the probability of a 15-year-old dying before age 60, increased by 2% for males and 9% for females. CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 and the interventions to manage it had differential impacts on mortality by age and sex. The impact of the epidemic on life expectancy in 2020 differs from that in most other, mainly developed, countries, both in the limited decline and also in the greater impact on females. These empirical estimates of life expectancy and mortality rates are not reflected by estimates from agencies, either because agency estimates have yet to be updated for the impact of the epidemic or because they have not allowed for the impact correctly. Trends in weekly excess deaths suggest that the drop in life expectancy in 2021 will be greater than that in 2020.


Assuntos
COVID-19/epidemiologia , Expectativa de Vida/tendências , Adolescente , Adulto , COVID-19/mortalidade , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Mortalidade Infantil/tendências , Masculino , Mortalidade Prematura/tendências , África do Sul/epidemiologia , Adulto Jovem
15.
PLoS Med ; 19(2): e1003889, 2022 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35134067

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Interpreting and utilizing the findings of nutritional research can be challenging to clinicians, policy makers, and even researchers. To make better decisions about diet, innovative methods that integrate best evidence are needed. We have developed a decision support model that predicts how dietary choices affect life expectancy (LE). METHODS AND FINDINGS: Based on meta-analyses and data from the Global Burden of Disease study (2019), we used life table methodology to estimate how LE changes with sustained changes in the intake of fruits, vegetables, whole grains, refined grains, nuts, legumes, fish, eggs, milk/dairy, red meat, processed meat, and sugar-sweetened beverages. We present estimates (with 95% uncertainty intervals [95% UIs]) for an optimized diet and a feasibility approach diet. An optimal diet had substantially higher intake than a typical diet of whole grains, legumes, fish, fruits, vegetables, and included a handful of nuts, while reducing red and processed meats, sugar-sweetened beverages, and refined grains. A feasibility approach diet was a midpoint between an optimal and a typical Western diet. A sustained change from a typical Western diet to the optimal diet from age 20 years would increase LE by more than a decade for women from the United States (10.7 [95% UI 8.4 to 12.3] years) and men (13.0 [95% UI 9.4 to 14.3] years). The largest gains would be made by eating more legumes (females: 2.2 [95% UI 1.1 to 3.4]; males: 2.5 [95% UI 1.1 to 3.9]), whole grains (females: 2.0 [95% UI 1.3 to 2.7]; males: 2.3 [95% UI 1.6 to 3.0]), and nuts (females: 1.7 [95% UI 1.5 to 2.0]; males: 2.0 [95% UI 1.7 to 2.3]), and less red meat (females: 1.6 [95% UI 1.5 to 1.8]; males: 1.9 [95% UI 1.7 to 2.1]) and processed meat (females: 1.6 [95% UI 1.5 to 1.8]; males: 1.9 [95% UI 1.7 to 2.1]). Changing from a typical diet to the optimized diet at age 60 years would increase LE by 8.0 (95% UI 6.2 to 9.3) years for women and 8.8 (95% UI 6.8 to 10.0) years for men, and 80-year-olds would gain 3.4 years (95% UI females: 2.6 to 3.8/males: 2.7 to 3.9). Change from typical to feasibility approach diet would increase LE by 6.2 (95% UI 3.5 to 8.1) years for 20-year-old women from the United States and 7.3 (95% UI 4.7 to 9.5) years for men. Using NutriGrade, the overall quality of evidence was assessed as moderate. The methodology provides population estimates under given assumptions and is not meant as individualized forecasting, with study limitations that include uncertainty for time to achieve full effects, the effect of eggs, white meat, and oils, individual variation in protective and risk factors, uncertainties for future development of medical treatments; and changes in lifestyle. CONCLUSIONS: A sustained dietary change may give substantial health gains for people of all ages both for optimized and feasible changes. Gains are predicted to be larger the earlier the dietary changes are initiated in life. The Food4HealthyLife calculator that we provide online could be useful for clinicians, policy makers, and laypeople to understand the health impact of dietary choices.


Assuntos
Comportamento de Escolha/fisiologia , Técnicas de Apoio para a Decisão , Dieta Saudável/tendências , Preferências Alimentares/fisiologia , Expectativa de Vida/tendências , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Frutas , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Nozes , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Verduras , Grãos Integrais , Adulto Jovem
16.
PLoS One ; 17(2): e0263992, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35180255

RESUMO

Increasing human longevity is of global interest. The present study explored the prediction of longevity from both individual perspective and family perspective based on demographic and psychosocial factors. A total of 186 longevous family members and 237 ordinary elderly family members participated in a cross-sectional study, and a sample of 62 longevous elderly and 57 ordinary elderly were selected for comparative research. The results showed that it was three times more female than male in longevous elderly group. Up to 71.2% of longevous elderly had no experience in education, which was significantly lower than that of ordinary elderly. Due to such extreme age, more widowed (81.4%) elderly than those in married (18.6%). Less than one-seventh of the longevous elderly maintained the habit of smoking, and about one-third of them liked drinking, both were significantly lower than that of ordinary elderly. In terms of psychosocial factors, longevous elderly showed lower neuroticism and social support, while higher extraversion, compared with the ordinary elderly. However, there were no significant differences between the two family groups in demographic and psychosocial variables, except longevous families showing lower scores in neuroticism. Regression analysis found that neuroticism, social support and smoking habit had significant impact on individuals' life span, then, neuroticism and psychoticism were the key factor to predict families' longevity. We conclude that good emotional management, benign interpersonal support, and moderation of habits are important factors for individual longevity, and the intergenerational influence of personality is closely related to family longevity.


Assuntos
Família , Longevidade , Personalidade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Feminino , Estilo de Vida Saudável , Humanos , Expectativa de Vida/tendências , Masculino , Fatores Sexuais , Fatores Socioeconômicos
17.
J Am Geriatr Soc ; 70(2): 481-489, 2022 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34664261

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Various clinical studies have provided estimates of life expectancy of patients with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) from outpatient clinics, but whether these apply to community-dwelling individuals at home or in primary care is uncertain. METHODS: Within the population-based Rotterdam Study, we studied life expectancy with and without dementia in 648 community-dwelling persons with MCI and 6410 without MCI. Participants aged 60 years and older were assessed for MCI at baseline (2002-2014) and subsequently followed for the onset of dementia and death. We used multistate life tables to determine age-specific life expectancy with and without dementia by sex, educational attainment, and MCI subtype. RESULTS: Total life expectancy for MCI ranged from 21.4 years (95% CI: 19.0-23.6) at age 60 to 2.6 years (1.6-3.6) at age 95. With advancing age, an increasing proportion of these years was lived with dementia (2.9 years [1.8-4.0] at age 60; 1.2 [0.2-2.2] at age 95). Women and higher educated individuals lived longer and lived more years with dementia. No differences in total life expectancy were observed by MCI subtype, although individuals with amnestic MCI lived a larger proportion of those years with dementia. CONCLUSIONS: Prognosis of MCI, in terms of life years lived with and without dementia, is more favorable in the general population than described in prior clinical observations, due likely to a substantial proportion of individuals with MCI in the clinic not seeking medical attention in an earlier stage.


Assuntos
Disfunção Cognitiva/epidemiologia , Demência/epidemiologia , Vida Independente , Expectativa de Vida/tendências , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Escolaridade , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Países Baixos , Fatores de Risco , Fatores Sexuais
18.
Am J Epidemiol ; 191(1): 104-114, 2022 01 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34613389

RESUMO

The population of older cancer survivors in the United States is rapidly growing. However, little is currently known about how the health of older cancer survivors has changed over time and across successive birth cohorts. Using data from the US Health and Retirement Study, we parameterized a demographic microsimulation model to compare partial cohort life expectancy (LE) and disability-free LE for US men and women without cancer and with prevalent and incident cancer diagnoses for 4 successive 10-year birth cohorts, born 1918-1927 to 1948-1957. Disability was defined as being disabled in ≥1 activity of daily living. These cohorts had midpoint ages of 55-64, 65-74, and 75-84 years during the periods 1998-2008 (the "early" period) and 2008-2018 (the "later" period). Across all cohorts and periods, those with incident cancer had the lowest LE, followed by those with prevalent cancer and cancer-free individuals. We observed declines in partial LE and an expansion of life spent disabled among more recent birth cohorts of prevalent-cancer survivors. Our findings suggest that advances in treatments that prolong life for individual cancer patients may have led to population-level declines in conditional LE and disability-free LE across successive cohorts of older cancer survivors.


Assuntos
Sobreviventes de Câncer/estatística & dados numéricos , Expectativa de Vida/tendências , Mortalidade/tendências , Atividades Cotidianas , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Envelhecimento , Coorte de Nascimento , Feminino , Expectativa de Vida Saudável/tendências , Humanos , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores Sexuais , Fatores Sociodemográficos , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia
19.
Epidemiol. serv. saúde ; 31(3): e2022481, 2022. tab, graf
Artigo em Inglês, Português | LILACS | ID: biblio-1404737

RESUMO

Objetivo: descrever os anos potenciais de vida perdidos (APVPs) por aids na população do sexo feminino e analisar sua associação com raça/cor da pele e indicadores de vulnerabilidade social em Porto Alegre/RS, Brasil. Métodos: estudo descritivo, considerando-se os óbitos do sexo feminino por aids em 2007-2017; os dados foram obtidos no banco do Sistema de Informações sobre Mortalidade; foram calculados valores brutos e taxas de APVPs por 1 mil óbitos, considerando-se os distritos sanitários e a raça/cor da pele. Resultados: entre 1.539 óbitos, foram estimados cerca de 51 mil anos potenciais de vida, representando 86,5 anos perdidos/1 mil pessoas do sexo feminino; identificou-se maior proporção de óbitos naquelas de raça/cor da pele branca (53,4%); porém, maior taxa de APVPs ocorreu para as de raça/cor da pele preta/parda residentes em regiões de maior vulnerabilidade. Conclusão: os resultados sugerem o impacto de desigualdades raciais na diminuição dos anos potenciais de vida, em função do óbito por aids.


Objetivo: describir los años potenciales de vida perdidos (APVP) por SIDA en la población femenina y analizar la asociación con raza/color e indicadores de vulnerabilidad social en Porto Alegre/RS, Brasil. Métodos: estudio descriptivo considerando muertes por SIDA en el sexo femenino entre 2007 y 2017; los datos se obtuvieron de la base de datos del sistema de información de mortalidad; los valores brutos y las tasas de APVP por cada 1 mil muertes se calcularon considerando los distritos de salud y la raza/color de piel. Resultados: entre 1.539 muertes, se perdieron 51.000 años potenciales de vida, lo que representa 86,5 años perdidos por cada 1 mil personas del sexo femenino; se identificó una mayor proporción de muertes para la raza blanca/color de piel (53,4%), pero una mayor tasa de APVP entre las negras que viven en regiones de mayor vulnerabilidad. Conclusión: los resultados sugieren el impacto de las desigualdades raciales en la reducción de los años potenciales de vida, por muerte por SIDA.


Objective: to describe the years of potential life lost (YPLL) due to AIDS among the female population and analyze its association with race/skin color and social vulnerability indicators in Porto Alegre, capital city of the state of Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil. Methods: this was a descriptive study that took into consideration AIDS deaths in female between 2007 and 2017; data were obtained from the Mortality Information System; crude values and YPLL rates per 1,000 deaths were calculated, taking into consideration health districts and race/skin color. Results: of the 1,539 deaths, approximately 51,000 years of potential life were estimated, representing 86.5 years lost/1,000 female; it could be seen a higher proportion of deaths among female of White race/ skin color (53.4%); however, a higher rate of YPLL was found among female of Black and mixed race/skin color living in regions of greater vulnerability. Conclusion: the results suggest the impact of racial inequalities on the decrease in years of potential life due to AIDS deaths.


Assuntos
Humanos , Feminino , Expectativa de Vida/tendências , Síndrome de Imunodeficiência Adquirida/mortalidade , Síndrome de Imunodeficiência Adquirida/epidemiologia , Fatores Raciais/estatística & dados numéricos , Brasil/epidemiologia , Fatores Sexuais , Epidemiologia Descritiva , Saúde da Mulher
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